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Stadium Background

Pfeddersheim vs TuS Koblenz

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TuS Koblenz head into this one in great shape. With an average of 1.3 xG per match, they pose a serious threat even on the road. TuS Koblenz will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Pfeddersheim to find a way to break them down. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. The numbers suggest backing TuS Koblenz has the better value, giving them a 60% chance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pfeddersheim
17%
Draws
60%
TuS Koblenz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: TuS Koblenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Pfeddersheim picked up more points recently compared to TuS Koblenz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Pfeddersheim Clean Sheet 19%
TuS Koblenz Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pfeddersheim TuS Koblenz
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 17
Draws 0 10
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

03.02.24 Club Friendly
Pfeddersheim vs TuS Koblenz
1:3
19.11.22 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
TuS Koblenz vs Pfeddersheim
1:0
03.09.22 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Pfeddersheim vs TuS Koblenz
0:2
30.05.20 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Pfeddersheim vs TuS Koblenz
0:0
09.11.19 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
TuS Koblenz vs Pfeddersheim
1:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Pfeddersheim

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

TuS Koblenz

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pfeddersheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.72

TuS Koblenz Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.95

Availability Alerts

Key Defender TuS Koblenz • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Pfeddersheim • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper TuS Koblenz • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Pfeddersheim • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pfeddersheim 25 / 100
TuS Koblenz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pfeddersheim TuS Koblenz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TuS Koblenz Win (2)
Secondary Pick TuS Koblenz & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Pfeddersheim will likely press early to force mistakes.

Pfeddersheim 59%
TuS Koblenz 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

TuS Koblenz should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Pfeddersheim 54%
TuS Koblenz 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Pfeddersheim 51%
TuS Koblenz 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Pfeddersheim to push more players wide.

Pfeddersheim 56%
TuS Koblenz 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Pfeddersheim 51%
TuS Koblenz 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Pfeddersheim 62%
TuS Koblenz 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pfeddersheim attacking → ← attacking TuS Koblenz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pfeddersheim have scored in 87% of their home games in the past 12 months.

TuS Koblenz concede most goals (42%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 19 shots per game, well above the league median.

Pfeddersheim are unbeaten in 5 straight matches when scoring first.

TuS Koblenz have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Pfeddersheim wants a European spot, while TuS Koblenz is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 61
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.30
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2