Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pharco FC vs El Gouna

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Fakhri M.
20'
Mostafa W.
28'
Karim A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Pharco FC and El Gouna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Gouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pharco FC
40%
Draws
29%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • El Gouna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pharco FC Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pharco FC El Gouna
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 13
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Pharco FC vs El Gouna
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs Pharco FC
0:1
Mar 3, 2025 Premier League
Pharco FC vs El Gouna
0:0
May 10, 2024 Premier League
El Gouna vs Pharco FC
1:2
Oct 28, 2023 Premier League
Pharco FC vs El Gouna
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pharco FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Emad M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pharco FC 42 / 100
El Gouna 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pharco FC El Gouna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Gouna has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Pharco FC scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Pharco FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pharco FC VS El Gouna
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220