Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union II

2 - 1

Atlanta United 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Kovac A.

Assist: Cisset M.

46'

Sub

Davis III E. In: Ruf J.

Out: Davis III E.

47'

Chong-Qui D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Philadelphia Union II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Philadelphia Union II

40%

Draws

29%

Atlanta United 2

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Philadelphia Union II lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United 2.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Philadelphia Union II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%

Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Philadelphia Union II	Atlanta United 2
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	14
Draws	1	0
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0.75	2.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Apr 10, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

5:1

Sep 29, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Apr 15, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Atlanta United 2 vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

0:5

Jun 9, 2023 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer De Paula M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Reed T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 30 / 100

Atlanta United 2 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Philadelphia Union II Atlanta United 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Philadelphia Union II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Atlanta United 2 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Atlanta United 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS Atlanta United 2

0.75 Goals Scored 2.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9