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Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Campos A.
43' Event
Kerr D.
Assist: Campos A.
49'
Molinari P.

AI Match Summary

New York City II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Philadelphia Union II
15%
Draws
42%
New York City II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • New York City II average 1.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Philadelphia Union II's 1.45.
  • Model gives Philadelphia Union II a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%
New York City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union II New York City II
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 1 0
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II
1:2
Aug 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:1
Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II
4:3
Jul 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer LeBlanc K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

New York City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 40 / 100
New York City II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union II New York City II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Philadelphia Union II scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Solid form: Philadelphia Union II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS New York City II
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union II

(Home)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 7

New York City II

(Away)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
New York City II
1 : 0
CT United FC
08 Sept
New York City II
4 : 2
New York Red Bulls II
01 Sept
Inter Miami II
4 : 2
New York City II
28 Aug
Toronto FC II
2 : 0
New York City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)