Sport Picks
Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa
North & Central America
Leagues Cup Subaru Park, Chester, PA 
Match Events
3'
3'
Harriel N.
Assist: Sullivan C.
11'
11'
Pierre N.
12'
12'
Damiani B.
Assist: Harriel N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
15%
5%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Philadelphia Union come out ahead of Necaxa on wins alone.
- Philadelphia Union are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Philadelphia Union have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Philadelphia Union, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Philadelphia Union | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Leagues Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Necaxa
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Philadelphia Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Harriel N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Damiani B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Necaxa Compare
Top Goalscorer Espindola M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Philadelphia Union 85 / 100
Necaxa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Philadelphia Union Necaxa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Necaxa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Philadelphia Union has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Philadelphia Union's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Philadelphia Union VS Necaxa
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Philadelphia Union
(Home) 26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0 CF Montreal
19 Aug
Philadelphia Union
2 : 2 Inter Miami
13 Aug
Philadelphia Union
0 : 2 Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 3
Necaxa
(Away) 28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4 Club America
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1 Necaxa
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1 Puebla
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1 Necaxa
29 Aug
Necaxa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1 Necaxa
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1 Necaxa
24 Aug
UNAM Pumas
1 : 1 Necaxa
13 Aug
New York City
1 : 2 Necaxa
09 Aug
Philadelphia Union
3 : 1 Necaxa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
