Sport Picks

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS Subaru Park, Chester, PA

Real Salt Lake

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union host Real Salt Lake in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Real Salt Lake have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Philadelphia Union have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.9. Past meetings favor Real Salt Lake slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2024, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.00) point toward Philadelphia Union. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Philadelphia Union

15%

Draws

14%

Real Salt Lake

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence

Philadelphia Union carry the better recent record into this one.
Philadelphia Union are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 20%

Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Philadelphia Union	Real Salt Lake
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.9	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.6
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 MLS

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake

1:2

Jun 13, 2020 MLS

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake

0:0

Jul 14, 2019 MLS

Real Salt Lake vs Philadelphia Union

4:0

May 19, 2018 MLS

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake

4:1

May 28, 2017 MLS

Real Salt Lake vs Philadelphia Union

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 85 / 100

Real Salt Lake 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Philadelphia Union Real Salt Lake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Salt Lake's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Philadelphia Union went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Philadelphia Union scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS Real Salt Lake

3.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History