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Philippines U23 vs Indonesia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U23 Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
Philippines U23 Logo

Philippines U23

0 - 1
FT
Indonesia U23 Logo

Indonesia U23

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Rosquillo J.
23' Event
Rosquillo J.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Reyes Dalapo U. In: Pena J.
Out: Reyes Dalapo U.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship U23 game between Philippines U23 and Indonesia U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Philippines U23
20%
Draws
15%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Philippines U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Philippines U23 haven't matched Indonesia U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Philippines U23 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Indonesia U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Philippines U23 vs Indonesia U23
0:1
May 13, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Indonesia U23
0:4
Aug 17, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U23 vs Philippines U23
3:0
Jun 9, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia U23 vs Philippines U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines U23 36 / 100
Indonesia U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines U23 Indonesia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines U23 scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Philippines U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Indonesia U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Philippines U23 VS Indonesia U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines U23

(Home)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 7

Indonesia U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 Philippines U23 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Malaysia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:17 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Cambodia U23 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Laos U23 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
2 Myanmar U23 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Timor-Leste U23 2 0 1 1 4:8 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U23 (Play Offs)