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Philippines W vs Australia U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFF Championship Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Bolden S.

AI Match Summary

The AFF Championship Women 2022 game between Philippines W and Australia U23 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippines W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Philippines W
15%
Draws
54%
Australia U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Philippines W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Australia U23 W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFF Championship Women 2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 25%
Australia U23 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines W Australia U23 W
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 18 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.97 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Australia U23 W vs Philippines W
1:0
Jul 4, 2022 ASEAN Championship Women
Philippines W vs Australia U23 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolden S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Australia U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines W 10 / 100
Australia U23 W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines W Australia U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Australia U23 W conceded in 62% of 13 recent games.

Recent resilience: Philippines W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Philippines W VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines W

(Home)
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Jun
Albion San Diego W
0 : 2
Philippines W
Page 1 of 7

Australia U23 W

(Away)
19 Aug
Australia U23 W
1 : 0
Myanmar W
16 Aug
Vietnam W
1 : 2
Australia U23 W
13 Aug
Australia U23 W
9 : 0
Timor-Leste W
10 Aug
Australia U23 W
1 : 0
Philippines W
07 Aug
Myanmar W
2 : 1
Australia U23 W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand W 5 4 1 0 14:2 13
2 Philippines W 5 4 0 1 16:2 12
3 Australia U23 W 5 3 1 1 16:4 10
4 Singapore W 5 1 1 3 3:14 4
5 Malaysia W 5 0 2 3 1:15 2
6 Indonesia W 5 0 1 4 2:15 1
Promotion - AFF Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 4 4 0 0 18:0 12
2 Myanmar W 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Cambodia W 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
4 Laos W 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Timor-Leste W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - AFF Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)