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Stadium Background

Philippines W vs Myanmar W

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Women 2025 Lạch Tray Stadium, Haiphong
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Tun Win Theingi
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Lemoran C. In: Mathelus N.
Out: Lemoran C.
46'
Sub
Schinaman A. In: Wyrzynski A.
Out: Schinaman A.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship Women 2025 game between Philippines W and Myanmar W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Philippines W
20%
Draws
7%
Myanmar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Philippines W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Philippines W come out ahead of Myanmar W on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Philippines W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 20%
Myanmar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines W Myanmar W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.87 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Southeast Asian Games Women
Myanmar W vs Philippines W
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Philippines W vs Myanmar W
1:1
Sep 28, 2023 Asian Games Women
Philippines W vs Myanmar W
3:0
May 3, 2023 Southeast Asian Games Women
Philippines W vs Myanmar W
0:1
May 21, 2022 Southeast Asian Games Women
Myanmar W vs Philippines W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathelus N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Myanmar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines W 85 / 100
Myanmar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines W Myanmar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippines W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Myanmar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Philippines W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippines W VS Myanmar W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.83
63% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines W

(Home)
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Jun
Albion San Diego W
0 : 2
Philippines W
04 Jun
San Diego Wave W
1 : 0
Philippines W
19 Mar
Uzbekistan W
0 : 2
Philippines W
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Myanmar W

(Away)
17 Sept
Myanmar W
0 : 8
North Korea W
14 Sept
South Korea W
5 : 0
Myanmar W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
03 Jun
Myanmar W
0 : 1
Uzbekistan W
11 Dec
Vietnam W
2 : 0
Myanmar W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Thailand W 3 2 0 1 14:1 6
3 Cambodia W 3 0 1 2 1:14 1
4 Indonesia W 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Australia U23 W 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 8:2 4
4 Timor-Leste W 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)