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Philippos Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Neou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Philippos Alexandreia Logo

Philippos Alexandreia

1 - 3
FT
Ethnikos Neou Logo

Ethnikos Neou

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Neou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Philippos Alexandreia
15%
Draws
57%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethnikos Neou lately — more wins on the board than Philippos Alexandreia.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ethnikos Neou here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Philippos Alexandreia Clean Sheet 10%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippos Alexandreia Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.27 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Neou
1:3
Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Philippos Alexandreia
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Neou
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippos Alexandreia 34 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippos Alexandreia Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Neou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ethnikos Neou let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Ethnikos Neou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Philippos Alexandreia scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippos Alexandreia VS Ethnikos Neou
0.67 Goals Scored 2.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippos Alexandreia

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Philippos Alexandreia
0 : 3
Apollon Kalamaria
28 Mar
Philippos Alexandreia
1 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
22 Mar
Veria
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 27 21 4 2 54:7 67
2 Ethnikos Neou 27 19 6 2 63:27 63
3 Veria 27 14 5 8 38:23 47
4 Ermis Exochis 27 12 6 9 42:39 42
5 Philippos Alexandreia 27 9 5 13 29:40 32
6 Pierikos 27 9 3 15 23:34 30
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)
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