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Philippos Alexandreia vs Evosmou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Philippos Alexandreia and Evosmou finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippos Alexandreia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Philippos Alexandreia
15%
Draws
21%
Evosmou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippos Alexandreia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Philippos Alexandreia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Philippos Alexandreia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Philippos Alexandreia Clean Sheet 20%
Evosmou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippos Alexandreia Evosmou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.27 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Evosmou
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Evosmou vs Philippos Alexandreia
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippos Alexandreia 85 / 100
Evosmou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippos Alexandreia Evosmou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippos Alexandreia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evosmou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Evosmou has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Philippos Alexandreia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Philippos Alexandreia VS Evosmou
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippos Alexandreia

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Philippos Alexandreia
0 : 3
Apollon Kalamaria
28 Mar
Philippos Alexandreia
1 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
22 Mar
Veria
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
Page 1 of 6

Evosmou

(Away)
08 Apr
Evosmou
0 : 3
Eordaikos
05 Apr
Evosmou
2 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Asteras Karditsa
2 : 0
Evosmou
22 Mar
Evosmou
0 : 5
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 22 17 4 1 47:6 55
2 Ethnikos Neou 22 14 6 2 49:24 48
3 Veria 22 12 4 6 32:19 40
4 Ermis Exochis 22 10 5 7 36:30 35
5 Pierikos 22 9 3 10 22:23 30
6 Philippos Alexandreia 22 8 5 9 26:31 29
7 Akrites Sykeon 22 8 5 9 29:24 29
8 Eordaikos 22 8 4 10 25:27 28
9 Kozani FC 22 6 8 8 17:22 26
10 Sarakinos Volos 22 8 2 12 27:38 26
11 Asteras Karditsa 22 5 6 11 28:43 21
12 Evosmou 22 0 2 20 13:64 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 (Losers stage)