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Philippos Alexandreia vs Kozani FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Philippos Alexandreia play Kozani FC in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Philippos Alexandreia averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2 conceded. Kozani FC averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Philippos Alexandreia won 1, Kozani FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Philippos Alexandreia and 1.88 for Kozani FC. This points to a Kozani FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Philippos Alexandreia
6%
Draws
90%
Kozani FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kozani FC demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Philippos Alexandreia (0.88 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kozani FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Philippos Alexandreia Clean Sheet 10%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippos Alexandreia Kozani FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Kozani FC
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Philippos Alexandreia
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Philippos Alexandreia
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Philippos Alexandreia vs Kozani FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippos Alexandreia 10 / 100
Kozani FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippos Alexandreia Kozani FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippos Alexandreia scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Kozani FC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Philippos Alexandreia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kozani FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippos Alexandreia VS Kozani FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apollon Kalamaria22174147:655
2Ethnikos Neou22146249:2448
3Veria22124632:1940
4Ermis Exochis22105736:3035
5Pierikos22931022:2330
6Philippos Alexandreia2285926:3129
7Akrites Sykeon2285929:2429
8Eordaikos22841025:2728
9Kozani FC2268817:2226
10Sarakinos Volos22821227:3826
11Asteras Karditsa22561128:4321
12Evosmou22022013:642