Sport Picks
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay
USA
USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Phoenix Rising host Monterey Bay in the USL Championship. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Monterey Bay have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Phoenix Rising have conceded 2 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Phoenix Rising have won 2 to Monterey Bay's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 18, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.81) point toward Phoenix Rising. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Monterey Bay haven't matched Phoenix Rising's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Monterey Bay's way, sitting at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Phoenix Rising | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Phoenix Rising scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Monterey Bay has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Phoenix Rising remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:24 | 21 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 8 | Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21:42 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Lexington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |