Sport Picks
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium, Chandler, AZ 
Match Events
43'
43'
Gibson T.
46'
46'
Sub
Smith C. In: Flores D.
Out: Smith C.
48'
48'
Pelayo A.
AI Match Summary
Oakland Roots in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oakland Roots.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oakland Roots
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Phoenix Rising have won more games recently than Oakland Roots.
- Oakland Roots are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 20%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Phoenix Rising | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
3:0
Jun 21, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:4
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:3
Jul 13, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Phoenix Rising Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arase K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Oakland Roots Compare
Top Goalscorer Trejo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Valot F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Phoenix Rising 24 / 100
Oakland Roots 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Phoenix Rising Oakland Roots
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oakland Roots Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Phoenix Rising scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Oakland Roots's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Phoenix Rising went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Phoenix Rising VS Oakland Roots
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Phoenix Rising
(Home) 04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
20 Aug
Phoenix Rising
3 : 1 Colorado Springs
26 Jul
Phoenix Rising
0 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Oakland Roots
(Away) 04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
06 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
