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Phonix Lubeck B vs Kilia Kiel

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Phonix Lubeck B play Kilia Kiel in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Phonix Lubeck B averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Kilia Kiel averaged 2.89 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Phonix Lubeck B won 0, Kilia Kiel won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Phonix Lubeck B and 3.31 for Kilia Kiel. This points to a Kilia Kiel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Phonix Lubeck B
18%
Draws
49%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Phonix Lubeck B picked up more points recently compared to Kilia Kiel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 3.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Phonix Lubeck B Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phonix Lubeck B Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 2.1 2.89
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Phonix Lubeck B
6:1
Oct 4, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Phonix Lubeck B vs Kilia Kiel
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phonix Lubeck B 32 / 100
Kilia Kiel 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phonix Lubeck B Kilia Kiel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kilia Kiel or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Phonix Lubeck B attacking → ← attacking Kilia Kiel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phonix Lubeck B scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Kilia Kiel let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Phonix Lubeck B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kilia Kiel lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 55
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.75
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Todesfelde30262280:2477
2Holstein Kiel II30205583:2665
3Kilia Kiel30194787:3761
4Eichede301611359:3059
5VfR Neumunster301551061:5550
6Heider SV301451159:5847
7PSV Neumunster301351268:6244
8Phonix Lubeck B301261263:7042
9Nordmark Satrup301241444:5140
10Kaltenkirchener301061449:5336
11Rotenhof30971451:7034
12Hohenwestedt30851748:6429
13Oldenburger SV30851761:8629
14Eutin 0830761732:6527
15Inter Turkspor Kiel30622231:7720
16Preussen Reinfeld30442238:8616