Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Phrae United vs Kasetsart

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Huai Ma Stadium, Phrae
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Sarapee S.
Own Goal
80' Event
Felipe Paim
87' Event
Jorates K.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Phrae United and Kasetsart finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phrae United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Phrae United
20%
Draws
16%
Kasetsart
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phrae United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kasetsart's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Phrae United have produced (1.07).
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Phrae United taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 18%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phrae United Kasetsart
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Kasetsart
2:1
Aug 26, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Phrae United
2:3
Mar 8, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Phrae United
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Kasetsart
1:2
Jan 6, 2024 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Kasetsart
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phrae United Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Paim
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kasetsart Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorates K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phrae United 49 / 100
Kasetsart 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phrae United Kasetsart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phrae United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Phrae United scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Kasetsart let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Kasetsart has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Phrae United VS Kasetsart
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Phrae United

(Home)
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Phrae United
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0
Phrae United
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 6

Kasetsart

(Away)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)