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Phrae United vs Mahasarakham

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Huai Ma Stadium, Phrae
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Artserm K.
45' Event
Takum P.
Own Goal
58' Event
Aung Lwin Moe

AI Match Summary

Mahasarakham in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mahasarakham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Phrae United
35%
Draws
16%
Mahasarakham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Phrae United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Mahasarakham have won more games recently than Phrae United.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Phrae United taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 20%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phrae United Mahasarakham
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Mahasarakham
0:6
Sep 12, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Phrae United
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Phrae United
1:4
Sep 22, 2024 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Mahasarakham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phrae United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Mahasarakham Compare

Top Goalscorer Artserm K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Lwin Moe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phrae United 67 / 100
Mahasarakham 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phrae United Mahasarakham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phrae United found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Mahasarakham conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Phrae United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Phrae United VS Mahasarakham
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Phrae United

(Home)
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
18 Apr
Police Tero
3 : 1
Phrae United
05 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 0
Pattaya United
21 Mar
Rasisalai United
2 : 2
Phrae United
14 Mar
Songkhla
0 : 0
Phrae United
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Mahasarakham

(Away)
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
04 Apr
Mahasarakham
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
22 Mar
Trat FC
2 : 0
Mahasarakham
18 Mar
Pathum United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)