Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Cong An Ha Noi

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Ninh Binh Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Phu Dong Ninh Binh play Cong An Ha Noi in the V.League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Phu Dong Ninh Binh averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Cong An Ha Noi averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Phu Dong Ninh Binh won 1, Cong An Ha Noi won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Phu Dong Ninh Binh and 1.63 for Cong An Ha Noi. This points to a Cong An Ha Noi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
18%
Draws
41%
Cong An Ha Noi
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh picked up more points recently compared to Cong An Ha Noi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 14%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh Cong An Ha Noi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.16 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3:2
Sep 28, 2022 V.League 2
Cong An Ha Noi vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:3
Jul 17, 2022 V.League 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:2
Jul 18, 2021 V.League 2
Cong An Ha Noi vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Pham Gia Hung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan Grafite
1 Goals
Assists Leader Le Pham Thanh Long
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 40 / 100
Cong An Ha Noi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Cong An Ha Noi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cong An Ha Noi or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Phu Dong Ninh Binh attacking → ← attacking Cong An Ha Noi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phu Dong Ninh Binh scored in 100% of their last 31 games.

Cong An Ha Noi let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Phu Dong Ninh Binh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cong An Ha Noi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 59
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324