Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Hai Phong

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Ninh Binh Stadium, Ninh Binh
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Friday F.
16' Event
Nguyen Hoang Duc
46'
Sub
Nguyen Quoc Viet In: Le Van Thuan
Out: Nguyen Quoc Viet

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Phu Dong Ninh Binh and Hai Phong finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phu Dong Ninh Binh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
15%
Draws
21%
Hai Phong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Phu Dong Ninh Binh taking it.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 20%
Hai Phong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh Hai Phong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 V.League 1
Hai Phong vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:4
May 9, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Hai Phong
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Hai Phong vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 V.League 1
Hai Phong vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2:2
Apr 7, 2022 Vietnamese Cup
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Hai Phong
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Hoang Duc
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hai Phong Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Antonio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 85 / 100
Hai Phong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Hai Phong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phu Dong Ninh Binh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phu Dong Ninh Binh scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Hai Phong let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Phu Dong Ninh Binh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS Hai Phong
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

(Home)
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1
Viettel
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
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Hai Phong

(Away)
20 Sept
Hai Phong
0 : 1
Thep Can Tho
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
07 Jun
Hai Phong
1 : 1
Nam Dinh
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)