Sport Picks
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Viettel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Vietnam
Vietnamese Cup 2025/2026 Ninh Binh Stadium, Ninh Binh 
Match Events
15'
15'
Pham Gia Hung
42'
42'
Nguyen Hoang Duc
45'
45'
Nham M. D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Phu Dong Ninh Binh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Phu Dong Ninh Binh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Phu Dong Ninh Binh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Phu Dong Ninh Binh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Phu Dong Ninh Binh, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 68%
Viettel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Phu Dong Ninh Binh | Viettel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 11, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Viettel
4:1
May 3, 2026 V.League 1
Viettel vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:1
Oct 2, 2025 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Viettel
1:1
Feb 21, 2020 Club Friendly
Viettel vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare
Top Goalscorer Pham Gia Hung
1 Goals Assists Leader Nguyen Hoang Duc
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Viettel Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 95 / 100
Viettel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Viettel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Phu Dong Ninh Binh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Phu Dong Ninh Binh's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Phu Dong Ninh Binh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Viettel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS Viettel
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
(Home) 11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1 Thanh Hoa
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4 Phu Dong Ninh Binh
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2 Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1 Viettel
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0 Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1 Thanh Hoa
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2 Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1 Viettel
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0 Hong Linh Ha Tinh
23 May
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 1 Ho Chi Minh
Page 1 of 4
Viettel
(Away) 08 Oct
Viettel
1 : 3 Hong Linh Ha Tinh
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1 Melbourne Victory
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1 Cong An Ha Noi
04 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 2 Viettel
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1 Viettel
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 2 Viettel
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1 Viettel
31 May
Ho Chi Minh
1 : 1 Viettel
17 May
Nam Dinh
0 : 2 Viettel
10 May
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
0 : 2 Viettel
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Hai Phong -
TBD -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
PVF-CAND -
TBD -
Thanh Hoa 0
Gia Lai 2
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Viettel 1
Hanoi FC 0
Khanh Hoa -
Hoa Binh -
Van Hien 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An -
TBD -
Da Nang 2
Ho Chi Minh 2 0
Nam Dinh -
TBD -
Long An 2
Quy Nhon United 1
Ho Chi Minh -
TBD -
Ho Chi Minh City 1
Aurora Saigon United 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3
Binh Duong 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1
Thep Can Tho 0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2
PVF-CAND 1
Gia Lai 0
Cong An Ha Noi 2
Viettel 3
Khanh Hoa 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An 2
Da Nang 3
Nam Dinh 2
Long An 0
Ho Chi Minh 3
Ho Chi Minh City 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3
PVF-CAND 2
Viettel 1
Bac Ninh 0
Da Nang 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
Viettel 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1
Ho Chi Minh 2
