Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piacenza vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ndoye M.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Marquez F.
52' Event
Ndoye M.

AI Match Summary

Piacenza in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piacenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Piacenza
15%
Draws
20%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piacenza lately — more wins on the board than Ponte San Pietro.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Piacenza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Piacenza here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piacenza Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.93 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Piacenza vs Ponte San Pietro
4:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Piacenza
0:1
Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Piacenza vs Ponte San Pietro
1:0
Nov 8, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Piacenza
0:3
Apr 6, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Piacenza vs Ponte San Pietro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ndoye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ponte San Pietro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 68 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piacenza Ponte San Pietro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ponte San Pietro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Piacenza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Piacenza VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piacenza

(Home)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
Page 1 of 6

Ponte San Pietro

(Away)
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3
Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1
Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5
Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)