Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piacenza vs Sangiuliano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sadaj D.
34' Event
Busatto T.
(Penalty)
48' Event
D'Agostino S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Piacenza and Sangiuliano City finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sangiuliano City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Piacenza
20%
Draws
23%
Sangiuliano City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiuliano City haven't matched Piacenza's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Piacenza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sangiuliano City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piacenza Sangiuliano City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.84 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.87 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Sangiuliano City
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Piacenza
1:1
Feb 1, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Piacenza vs Sangiuliano City
0:2
Nov 3, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie C
Piacenza vs Sangiuliano City
2:3
Oct 2, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Sangiuliano City vs Piacenza
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer De Vitis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadaj D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Busatto T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 95 / 100
Sangiuliano City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piacenza Sangiuliano City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Piacenza scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sangiuliano City conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Piacenza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piacenza VS Sangiuliano City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Piacenza

(Home)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
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Sangiuliano City

(Away)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)