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Piacenza vs Sasso Marconi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Piacenza have averaged 2 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Sasso Marconi's 1.1 scored and 1.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Piacenza have won 3 to Sasso Marconi's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.75 - 0.94) back Piacenza to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Piacenza
20%
Draws
23%
Sasso Marconi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sasso Marconi haven't matched Piacenza's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Piacenza taking it.
  • Piacenza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Piacenza, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Piacenza here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 20%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piacenza Sasso Marconi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Piacenza
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Sasso Marconi
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Piacenza
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Sasso Marconi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 85 / 100
Sasso Marconi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piacenza Sasso Marconi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Piacenza scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sasso Marconi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Piacenza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Piacenza VS Sasso Marconi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Piacenza

(Home)
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Piacenza
4 : 0
Scanzorosciate
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

Sasso Marconi

(Away)
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
16 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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