Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
D'Agostino S.
16'
16'
Manuzzi F.
(Penalty)
57'
57'
Mustacchio M.
AI Match Summary
Piacenza in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piacenza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piacenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Piacenza have won more games recently than SCD Progresso.
- Win probability leans Piacenza's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 68%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Piacenza | SCD Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs SCD Progresso
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Piacenza
1:1
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Piacenza vs SCD Progresso
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs SCD Progresso
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Piacenza
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Piacenza Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Agostino S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mustacchio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
SCD Progresso Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Piacenza 95 / 100
SCD Progresso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Piacenza SCD Progresso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Piacenza scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
SCD Progresso let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Piacenza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Piacenza VS SCD Progresso
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Piacenza
(Home) 20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1 Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1 Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2 Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1 Virtus Verona
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1 Crema
19 Apr
Piacenza
3 : 1 Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 3
SCD Progresso
(Away) 20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
