Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Piacenza

4 - 1

Tropical Coriano

Our Tip

Match Events

Cannino F.

16'

Taugourdeau A.

(Penalty)

19'

D'Agostino S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Piacenza and Tropical Coriano finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piacenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Piacenza

11%

Draws

Tropical Coriano

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Tropical Coriano haven't matched Piacenza's recent run of results.
Piacenza are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Piacenza Clean Sheet 68%

Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Piacenza	Tropical Coriano
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	19	6
Draws	4	8
Losses	7	16
Goals Scored	2.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Tropical Coriano vs Piacenza

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Piacenza vs Tropical Coriano

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Agostino S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Poledri M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Riccardi A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 86 / 100

Tropical Coriano 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Piacenza Tropical Coriano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Piacenza scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Tropical Coriano let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Piacenza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Piacenza VS Tropical Coriano

2.13 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 13%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8