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Piacenza vs USD Casatese

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Piacenza and USD Casatese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piacenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Piacenza
20%
Draws
33%
USD Casatese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Piacenza come out ahead of USD Casatese on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Piacenza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Piacenza have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 19%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piacenza USD Casatese
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.87 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Piacenza vs USD Casatese
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Piacenza
1:4
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Piacenza vs USD Casatese
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 40 / 100
USD Casatese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piacenza USD Casatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Piacenza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

USD Casatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Piacenza VS USD Casatese
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Piacenza

(Home)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
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USD Casatese

(Away)
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
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