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Pianese vs Montevarchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bellini L.
71' Event
Ianesi S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pianese and Montevarchi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pianese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pianese
30%
Draws
41%
Montevarchi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Montevarchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Pianese taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pianese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pianese Clean Sheet 20%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Montevarchi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Pianese vs Montevarchi
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Pianese vs Montevarchi
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Montevarchi
4:3
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Pianese
1:3
May 15, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Montevarchi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellini L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ianesi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Montevarchi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 42 / 100
Montevarchi 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Montevarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pianese's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pianese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Montevarchi has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS Montevarchi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1
Ravenna
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
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Montevarchi

(Away)
04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1
Montevarchi
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0
SCD Progresso
20 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Montevarchi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
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