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Pianese vs Perugia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pianese host Perugia in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Perugia have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Pianese have conceded 0.86 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, Pianese have won 2 to Perugia's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.13, favoring Pianese. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pianese
35%
Draws
32%
Perugia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perugia lately — more wins on the board than Pianese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pianese Clean Sheet 20%
Perugia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Perugia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 17 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Perugia
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Pianese
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Pianese
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Perugia
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 32 / 100
Perugia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Perugia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Perugia conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Pianese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pianese's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS Perugia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
01 Nov
Latina
1 : 1
Pianese
25 Oct
Forli FC
0 : 0
Pianese
17 Oct
Pianese
0 : 0
Pineto
10 Oct
Ostiamare
0 : 0
Pianese
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1
Ravenna
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Perugia

(Away)
31 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Perugia
23 Oct
Perugia
1 : 2
Pescara
18 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 5
Perugia
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)