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Pianese vs Spal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Frey D.
28'
Sub
Polidori M. In: Simeoni L.
Out: Polidori M.
32'
Parigini V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 game between Pianese and Spal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Pianese
35%
Draws
40%
Spal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pianese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Spal taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pianese Clean Sheet 25%
Spal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Spal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 15 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Spal
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Spal vs Pianese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 29 / 100
Spal 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Spal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spal has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Pianese found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Pianese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1
Ravenna
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
Page 1 of 7

Spal

(Away)
17 May
Spal
2 : 0
AC Milan U23
10 May
AC Milan U23
1 : 0
Spal
27 Apr
Spal
3 : 0
Gubbio
23 Apr
Vis Pesaro
1 : 1
Spal
12 Apr
Spal
1 : 1
US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 38 23 14 1 61:24 83
2 Ternana 38 22 10 6 64:23 74
3 Sassari Torres 38 19 11 8 55:36 68
4 Pescara 38 19 10 9 55:35 67
5 Arezzo 38 19 7 12 48:37 64
6 Vis Pesaro 38 15 13 10 44:34 58
7 Pineto 38 15 12 11 46:49 57
8 Pianese 38 15 8 15 48:48 53
9 Rimini 38 13 14 11 45:35 51
10 US Pontedera 38 13 9 16 54:54 48
11 Gubbio 38 13 9 16 32:42 48
12 Perugia 38 11 14 13 43:41 47
13 Carpi 38 11 11 16 41:48 44
14 Campobasso 38 11 10 17 36:46 43
15 Ascoli 38 9 13 16 37:46 40
16 Lucchese 38 10 15 13 47:64 39
17 Spal 38 9 11 18 41:61 35
18 AC Milan U23 38 7 13 18 36:57 34
19 Sestri Levante 38 6 13 19 34:54 31
20 Legnago Salus 38 6 11 21 30:63 29
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)