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Piaui U20 vs Comercial PI U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense U20 2025
Wed, Jul 23, 2025
1 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

80'
Joao Sabino
80'
Joao Sabino
1' Event
Silva Martins J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Piaui U20 in this Piauiense U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Piaui U20
15%
Draws
57%
Comercial PI U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial PI U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Piaui U20 have won more games recently than Comercial PI U20.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Comercial PI U20 taking it.
  • Piaui U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Piaui U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Piaui U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Comercial PI U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piaui U20 Comercial PI U20
Matches Played 20 12
Wins 13 7
Draws 0 2
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.95 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2025 Piauiense U20
Piaui U20 vs Comercial PI U20
1:0
Jul 1, 2025 Piauiense U20
Piaui U20 vs Comercial PI U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piaui U20 10 / 100
Comercial PI U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piaui U20 Comercial PI U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piaui U20 scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Comercial PI U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 12 matches.

Solid form: Piaui U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Piaui U20 VS Comercial PI U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Piaui U20

(Home)
07 Oct
America RN U20
3 : 2
Piaui U20
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
23 Oct
Fortaleza U20
5 : 0
Piaui U20
31 Jul
Atletico-PI U20
2 : 0
Piaui U20
23 Jul
Piaui U20
1 : 0
Comercial PI U20
Page 1 of 4

Comercial PI U20

(Away)
27 Jul
Comercial PI U20
1 : 2
River-PI U20
15 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
1 : 3
Comercial PI U20
10 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 1
Julho Esporte U20
08 Jul
Caicara U20
0 : 3
Comercial PI U20
06 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 0
Parnahyba U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Piaui U20 -
TBD -
TEC U20 0
Comercial PI U20 1
Atletico-PI U20 -
TBD -
Fluminense Piaui U20 2
Picos U20 1
Semi-finals
Piaui U20 1
Comercial PI U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 1
Fluminense Piaui U20 0
Final
Piaui U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 2