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Piaui vs Fluminense-PI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Oliveira G.
15' Event
Kauan Maranhao
47' Event
Leo Carvalho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Piaui
15%
Draws
26%
Fluminense-PI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense-PI haven't matched Piaui's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Piaui's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Piaui have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-PI, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piaui Fluminense-PI
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie D
Piaui vs Fluminense-PI
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
3:2
Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Fluminense-PI
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 Piauiense
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Maranhao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Carvalho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piaui 77 / 100
Fluminense-PI 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piaui Fluminense-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piaui Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piaui found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Fluminense-PI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Piaui remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Piaui VS Fluminense-PI
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Piaui

(Home)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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Fluminense-PI

(Away)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Atletico-PI 4
AE Altos 1
Piaui 4
Fluminense-PI 1
Final
Atletico-PI 0
Piaui 1