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Picerno vs Audace Cerignola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pugliese S.
Assist: Gemignani A.
20'
Virgilio P.
45' Event
Kanoute M.
Assist: Virgilio P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Picerno and Audace Cerignola finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Picerno
20%
Draws
50%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Audace Cerignola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Audace Cerignola's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Picerno have produced (1.38).
  • Audace Cerignola are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Picerno Clean Sheet 15%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Audace Cerignola
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Audace Cerignola
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Picerno
2:2
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Audace Cerignola
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Picerno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugliese S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanoute M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlingieri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 19 / 100
Audace Cerignola 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picerno found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Audace Cerignola let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Picerno has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS Audace Cerignola
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
04 Oct
Potenza
4 : 2
Picerno
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

Audace Cerignola

(Away)
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)