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Picerno vs Cosenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Florenzi A.
22' Event
Del Fabro D.
36'
Florenzi A.

AI Match Summary

Picerno in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Picerno
20%
Draws
33%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Picerno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cosenza lately — more wins on the board than Picerno.
  • Win probability leans Picerno's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno Cosenza
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Cosenza
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Picerno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Fabro D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Florenzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 77 / 100
Cosenza 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picerno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picerno's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cosenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Picerno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS Cosenza
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
14 Aug
Picerno
2 : 1
Barletta
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
26 Jul
Cosenza
2 : 0
Morrone
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)