Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Picerno vs Potenza

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Abreu L.
13' Event
Bianchi S.
42'
Franco D.

AI Match Summary

Picerno in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Picerno
20%
Draws
23%
Potenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Picerno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Picerno haven't matched Potenza's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Picerno a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%
Potenza Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno Potenza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Potenza
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Picerno
2:0
May 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Potenza vs Picerno
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Picerno
2:2
Oct 21, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Potenza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Potenza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 95 / 100
Potenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno Potenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picerno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Picerno scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Potenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Picerno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS Potenza
1.14 Goals Scored 1.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
14 Aug
Picerno
2 : 1
Barletta
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

Potenza

(Away)
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0
Potenza
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0
Ascoli
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)