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Picos vs Caicara

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Billa
31' Event
Marreiros da Silva A.
58' Event
Silva Osorio L. T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Piauiense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Picos
35%
Draws
26%
Caicara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Picos have won more games recently than Caicara.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Picos Clean Sheet 16%
Caicara Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos Caicara
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 4 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.87 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Piauiense 2
Picos vs Caicara
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Billa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marreiros da Silva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Caicara Compare

Top Goalscorer Barreiro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 31 / 100
Caicara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos Caicara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caicara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Picos's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Caicara conceded in 77% of 13 recent games.

Solid form: Picos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS Caicara
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
27 Sept
Picos
2 : 2
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

Caicara

(Away)
18 Oct
TEC
2 : 1
Caicara
11 Oct
Caicara
0 : 0
Flamengo PI
05 Oct
Caicara
0 : 2
Comercial PI
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
28 Sept
Caicara
0 : 1
Corisabba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corisabba 5 3 2 0 4:1 11
2 Flamengo PI 5 2 3 0 4:0 9
3 TEC 5 2 3 0 3:1 9
4 Comercial PI 5 1 1 3 5:6 4
5 Picos 5 0 3 2 4:8 3
6 Caicara 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2025 (Play Offs)