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Picos vs Comercial PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Picos in this Piauiense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Picos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Picos
20%
Draws
23%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Comercial PI have won more games recently than Picos.
  • Win probability leans Picos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Piauiense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Picos Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos Comercial PI
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Piauiense 2
Picos vs Comercial PI
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Piauiense 2
Picos vs Comercial PI
2:2
Apr 29, 2017 Piauiense
Picos vs Comercial PI
0:0
Mar 15, 2017 Piauiense
Comercial PI vs Picos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 85 / 100
Comercial PI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Picos scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Comercial PI conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Picos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS Comercial PI
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
Page 1 of 6

Comercial PI

(Away)
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
23 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 0
Corisabba
18 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 1
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Julho Esporte 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Flamengo PI 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Comercial PI 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
5 River-PI 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6 Caicara 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)