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Pierikos vs Kastoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pierikos
15%
Draws
42%
Kastoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pierikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pierikos lately — more wins on the board than Kastoria.
  • Model gives Pierikos a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Pierikos Clean Sheet 20%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pierikos Kastoria
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Pierikos vs Kastoria
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Pierikos
0:1
Feb 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Pierikos vs Kastoria
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Pierikos
2:1
Feb 15, 2009 Football League
Pierikos vs Kastoria
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pierikos 36 / 100
Kastoria 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pierikos Kastoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kastoria has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pierikos scored in 59% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Pierikos VS Kastoria
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pierikos

(Home)
04 Oct
Sarakinos Volos
1 : 0
Pierikos
26 Sept
Pierikos
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
08 Apr
Pierikos
0 : 3
Veria
05 Apr
Pierikos
1 : 2
Philippos Alexandreia
01 Apr
Ethnikos Neou
4 : 0
Pierikos
Page 1 of 8

Kastoria

(Away)
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethnikos Neou 34 24 6 4 57:18 78
2 Nea Artaki 34 23 7 4 62:19 76
3 Svoronos FC 34 21 9 4 63:23 72
4 Zakynthos 34 16 10 8 50:30 58
5 Pierikos 34 16 7 11 49:27 55
6 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 6 12 35:33 54
7 Kileler 34 15 8 11 36:22 53
8 Asteras Stavrou 34 15 7 12 38:35 52
9 Thesprotos 34 16 4 14 54:45 52
10 AO Trikala 34 14 10 10 49:37 52
11 Asteras Petriti 34 15 5 14 36:38 50
12 Eordaikos 34 13 11 10 39:30 50
13 Thyella Katsikas 34 13 9 12 49:32 48
14 Lefkimmi 34 9 6 19 37:51 33
15 Kastoria 34 9 6 19 35:52 33
16 Vataniakos 34 8 7 19 36:67 31
17 Fikis 33 2 1 30 12:90 -8
18 Magnisiakos 33 0 1 32 1:89 -14
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)