Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piesteritz vs Erfurt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erfurt II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Piesteritz
15%
Draws
85%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erfurt II lately — more wins on the board than Piesteritz.
  • Erfurt II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Piesteritz Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piesteritz Erfurt II
Matches Played 29 39
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Piesteritz vs Erfurt II
1:3
Sep 15, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Piesteritz
3:1
May 26, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Piesteritz
2:2
Nov 24, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Piesteritz vs Erfurt II
1:0
May 13, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Piesteritz vs Erfurt II
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piesteritz 18 / 100
Erfurt II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piesteritz Erfurt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Piesteritz found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Erfurt II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.

Away concern: Erfurt II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Piesteritz VS Erfurt II
1 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Piesteritz

(Home)
10 Jan
Halberstadt
6 : 2
Piesteritz
08 Jun
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 1
Piesteritz
01 Jun
Piesteritz
0 : 4
Markranstadt
25 May
Sandersdorf
2 : 1
Piesteritz
18 May
Piesteritz
2 : 4
Aue II
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Erfurt II

(Away)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bautzen 30 23 4 3 72:22 73
2 Markranstadt 30 21 4 5 54:21 67
3 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 18 3 8 70:41 57
4 Halle 30 16 3 11 55:35 51
5 Aue II 29 15 2 12 48:54 47
6 Chemnitzer II 30 13 6 11 61:44 45
7 Cottbus II 30 14 3 13 49:52 45
8 Sandersdorf 30 14 3 13 43:51 45
9 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 41:41 41
10 Jena II 30 11 6 13 54:48 39
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 3 15 40:50 39
12 Schott Jena 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
13 Erfurt II 30 9 6 15 49:63 33
14 Hallescher II 30 9 4 17 39:55 31
15 Piesteritz 30 6 6 18 40:66 24
16 Heidenauer 30 2 4 24 27:94 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2014/2015 (Main)