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Pietralunga vs Aquila Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Curatolo D.
41' Event
Sparacello C.
73'

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Pietralunga and Aquila Calcio finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquila Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Pietralunga
30%
Draws
64%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pietralunga haven't matched Aquila Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aquila Calcio a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 21%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pietralunga Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 0 12
Draws 2 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.46 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Pietralunga vs Aquila Calcio
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pietralunga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Curatolo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sparacello C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pietralunga 10 / 100
Aquila Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pietralunga Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pietralunga scored in 33% of their last 6 games.

Aquila Calcio has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Pietralunga remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pietralunga VS Aquila Calcio
0.29 Goals Scored 1
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pietralunga

(Home)
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
Page 1 of 2

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)