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Pigotts Bullets vs Parham

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 game between Pigotts Bullets and Parham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pigotts Bullets
20%
Draws
23%
Parham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pigotts Bullets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Parham haven't matched Pigotts Bullets's recent run of results.
  • Pigotts Bullets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pigotts Bullets Clean Sheet 20%
Parham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pigotts Bullets Parham
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Pigotts Bullets vs Parham
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Pigotts Bullets
3:3
Jan 22, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Pigotts Bullets vs Parham
0:1
Oct 27, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Pigotts Bullets vs Parham
2:1
Mar 5, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Pigotts Bullets vs Parham
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pigotts Bullets 85 / 100
Parham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pigotts Bullets Parham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pigotts Bullets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pigotts Bullets scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Parham conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pigotts Bullets stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pigotts Bullets VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pigotts Bullets

(Home)
03 May
Grenades
1 : 0
Pigotts Bullets
19 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
3 : 2
Ottos Rangers
11 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
2 : 2
Potters FC
05 Apr
Green City
0 : 1
Pigotts Bullets
29 Mar
Jennings Utd
1 : 3
Pigotts Bullets
Page 1 of 7

Parham

(Away)
30 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 5
Parham
24 Mar
Old Road
7 : 2
Parham
09 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 0
Parham
01 Mar
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Parham
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 18 16 0 2 67:14 48
2 All Saints United 18 15 1 2 64:16 46
3 Aston Villa 18 12 1 5 46:24 37
4 Old Road 18 9 7 2 44:24 34
5 SAP 18 9 2 7 54:44 29
6 Swetes 18 8 4 6 29:34 28
7 Greenbay Hoppers 18 7 4 7 29:32 25
8 Ottos Rangers 18 8 1 9 30:40 25
9 Tryum 18 8 1 9 27:37 25
10 Willikies 18 7 3 8 32:29 24
11 Empire FC 18 7 3 8 42:42 24
12 Parham 18 7 3 8 32:36 24
13 Pigotts Bullets 18 6 5 7 21:26 23
14 Blue Jays 18 3 1 14 18:48 10
15 Liberta 18 1 3 14 22:67 6
16 Five Islands 18 0 3 15 15:59 3
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)