Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Concordia Elblag

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Joao Criciuma

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Pilica Bialobrzegi and Concordia Elblag finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concordia Elblag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
6%
Draws
90%
Concordia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Concordia Elblag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Concordia Elblag come out ahead of Pilica Bialobrzegi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Concordia Elblag a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 11%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pilica Bialobrzegi Concordia Elblag
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 3.25 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Concordia Elblag
0:1
Oct 7, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Concordia Elblag
4:0
Nov 5, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Concordia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Criciuma
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pilica Bialobrzegi 10 / 100
Concordia Elblag 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pilica Bialobrzegi Concordia Elblag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Pilica Bialobrzegi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Concordia Elblag has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pilica Bialobrzegi VS Concordia Elblag
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 4.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pilica Bialobrzegi

(Home)
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
08 Jun
LKS Lomza
3 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
01 Jun
Pilica Bialobrzegi
2 : 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
25 May
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
19 May
Pilica Bialobrzegi
2 : 6
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Concordia Elblag

(Away)
18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2
GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2
Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2
Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1
Concordia Elblag
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)