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Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Olimpia Zambrow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jakimiuk J.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Tryukhan A.
85' Event
Gojko D.

AI Match Summary

Olimpia Zambrow in this III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olimpia Zambrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
6%
Draws
90%
Olimpia Zambrow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Olimpia Zambrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Olimpia Zambrow have won more games recently than Pilica Bialobrzegi.
  • Olimpia Zambrow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Olimpia Zambrow here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pilica Bialobrzegi Olimpia Zambrow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.57 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.86 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.86 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Olimpia Zambrow
0:5
Sep 9, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
4:0
May 28, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
4:0
Oct 29, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Olimpia Zambrow
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gojko D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tryukhan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pilica Bialobrzegi 10 / 100
Olimpia Zambrow 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pilica Bialobrzegi Olimpia Zambrow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olimpia Zambrow conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Pilica Bialobrzegi's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Olimpia Zambrow registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pilica Bialobrzegi VS Olimpia Zambrow
0.57 Goals Scored 1.88
3.86 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919