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Stadium Background

Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pienkowski M.
17' Event
Snopczynski B.
28' Event
Wojtysiak O.

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomaszow Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
6%
Draws
90%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pilica Bialobrzegi haven't matched Tomaszow Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tomaszow Mazowiecki a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pilica Bialobrzegi Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0 3
Goals Conceded 4 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:6
Oct 29, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
1:2
Apr 2, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
2:2
Aug 27, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0:2
Jun 18, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojtysiak O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stawiarz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Snopczynski B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pienkowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pilica Bialobrzegi 10 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pilica Bialobrzegi Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick T. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Pilica Bialobrzegi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pilica Bialobrzegi VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 Goals Scored 3
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919