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Pinatar vs Caravaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Pinatar Logo

Pinatar

3 - 1
FT
Caravaca Logo

Caravaca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pinatar in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pinatar
35%
Draws
23%
Caravaca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pinatar lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Pinatar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 20%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar Caravaca
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 15
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.81 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Caravaca
3:1
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Pinatar
0:3
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Pinatar
1:1
Nov 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Caravaca
1:1
Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Pinatar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 85 / 100
Caravaca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar Caravaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Caravaca let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Solid form: Pinatar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS Caravaca
5.5 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Melilla
0 : 3
Pinatar
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
Page 1 of 7

Caravaca

(Away)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)