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Pinatar vs EF Alhama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Pinatar Logo

Pinatar

2 - 3
FT
EF Alhama Logo

EF Alhama

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between Pinatar and EF Alhama finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EF Alhama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Pinatar
30%
Draws
18%
EF Alhama
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • EF Alhama haven't matched Pinatar's recent run of results.
  • Pinatar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 20%
EF Alhama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar EF Alhama
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.81 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs EF Alhama
2:3
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Pinatar
2:3
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Pinatar
3:0
Aug 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs EF Alhama
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 85 / 100
EF Alhama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar EF Alhama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

EF Alhama has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Pinatar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Melilla
0 : 3
Pinatar
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
Page 1 of 7

EF Alhama

(Away)
12 May
EF Alhama
1 : 3
Deportiva Minera
07 May
EDMF Churra
3 : 2
EF Alhama
01 May
EF Alhama
2 : 4
Ciudad de Murcia
24 Apr
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
3 : 1
EF Alhama
16 Apr
EF Alhama
5 : 3
Huercal-Overa CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)