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Pinatar vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between Pinatar and Estudiantes de Murcia CF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pinatar
30%
Draws
35%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinatar come out ahead of Estudiantes de Murcia CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pinatar a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Pinatar
2:3
Nov 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
1:0
Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
1:1
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Pinatar
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 76 / 100
Estudiantes de Murcia CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar Estudiantes de Murcia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Estudiantes de Murcia CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pinatar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS Estudiantes de Murcia CF
4 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
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Estudiantes de Murcia CF

(Away)
19 May
Lorca FC
1 : 0
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
12 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
La Union (Malacitano)
05 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
01 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
27 Apr
EDMF Churra
2 : 1
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)