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Pinatar vs La Union CF

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between Pinatar and La Union CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Pinatar
35%
Draws
20%
La Union CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinatar come out ahead of La Union CF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pinatar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 18%
La Union CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar La Union CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs La Union CF
2:1
Dec 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Pinatar
2:1
May 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs La Union CF
2:1
Dec 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Pinatar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 85 / 100
La Union CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar La Union CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pinatar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

La Union CF let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
15 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 0
CA Pulpileno
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La Union CF

(Away)
14 May
La Union CF
0 : 1
Deportiva Minera
07 May
Huercal-Overa CF
3 : 0
La Union CF
30 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 2
EDMF Churra
23 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
4 : 0
La Union CF
13 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)