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Pinatar vs Plus Ultra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
Pinatar Logo

Pinatar

4 - 1
FT
Plus Ultra Logo

Plus Ultra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pinatar in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinatar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pinatar
35%
Draws
6%
Plus Ultra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pinatar lately — more wins on the board than Plus Ultra.
  • Model gives Pinatar a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 20%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar Plus Ultra
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 15 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 29
Goals Scored 1.77 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Pinatar
2:2
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Plus Ultra
4:1
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Plus Ultra
4:2
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Pinatar
0:1
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Pinatar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 85 / 100
Plus Ultra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar Plus Ultra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Plus Ultra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pinatar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS Plus Ultra
4 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
Page 1 of 7

Plus Ultra

(Away)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)