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Pinerolo vs NovaRomentin

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Parravicini N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Pinerolo and NovaRomentin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NovaRomentin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Pinerolo
35%
Draws
0%
NovaRomentin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinerolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • NovaRomentin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Pinerolo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinerolo NovaRomentin
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 3
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 0.57 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs NovaRomentin
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Pinerolo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinerolo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

NovaRomentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Parravicini N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinerolo 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinerolo NovaRomentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinerolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NovaRomentin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

NovaRomentin has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Pinerolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pinerolo found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS NovaRomentin
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinerolo

(Home)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
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NovaRomentin

(Away)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)