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Pineto vs Reggiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pineto host Reggiana in the Serie C - Group B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pineto have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Reggiana's 0.93 scored and 1.41 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Reggiana. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pineto
30%
Draws
41%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Reggiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Reggiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Reggiana a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pineto Clean Sheet 17%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Reggiana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 23 / 100
Reggiana 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Reggiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reggiana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Pineto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pineto's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Reggiana's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Reggiana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

Reggiana

(Away)
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)